Official forecasts from Malaysia's Meteorological Department project a minimum temperature of 25°C for Kuala Lumpur on August 24, 2026, under hazy conditions with no rain, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical August climatology in the equatorial region, where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and urban heat effects, keeping lows near 24–26°C historically. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with minimal cold air advection. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted heavy convective showers enhancing evaporative cooling or denser cloud cover reducing daytime heating, potentially dropping the observed minimum below 25°C at the recording station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 24?
25°C 98.5%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$3,050 KL.
$3,050 KL.
24°C
1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
25°C 98.5%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$3,050 KL.
$3,050 KL.
24°C
1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Malaysia's Meteorological Department project a minimum temperature of 25°C for Kuala Lumpur on August 24, 2026, under hazy conditions with no rain, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical August climatology in the equatorial region, where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and urban heat effects, keeping lows near 24–26°C historically. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with minimal cold air advection. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted heavy convective showers enhancing evaporative cooling or denser cloud cover reducing daytime heating, potentially dropping the observed minimum below 25°C at the recording station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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