**Forecast models and official guidance from the India Meteorological Department point to a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 14, shaped by persistent monsoon conditions.** High humidity levels near 85–95%, widespread cloud cover, and a strong chance of evening or overnight thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer pre-monsoon nights. Recent observations show minimums of 26–27°C, with steering winds from the southeast maintaining moist, stable air masses. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around this value, though slight variations in rainfall timing or cloud thickness could nudge the actual low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of a mid-20s reading against tail risks from model divergence or localized heavy rain that might briefly suppress temperatures further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
21°C or below 65%
31°C or higher 64%
26°C 40%
23°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
65%
22°C
14%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
21%
26°C
33%
27°C
22%
28°C
26%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
64%
21°C or below 65%
31°C or higher 64%
26°C 40%
23°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
65%
22°C
$0 KL.
14%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C
$0 KL.
39%
25°C
$0 KL.
21%
26°C
$5 KL.
33%
27°C
$0 KL.
22%
28°C
$43 KL.
26%
29°C
$0 KL.
17%
30°C
$0 KL.
17%
31°C or higher
$0 KL.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the India Meteorological Department point to a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 14, shaped by persistent monsoon conditions.** High humidity levels near 85–95%, widespread cloud cover, and a strong chance of evening or overnight thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer pre-monsoon nights. Recent observations show minimums of 26–27°C, with steering winds from the southeast maintaining moist, stable air masses. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around this value, though slight variations in rainfall timing or cloud thickness could nudge the actual low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of a mid-20s reading against tail risks from model divergence or localized heavy rain that might briefly suppress temperatures further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$48Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the India Meteorological Department point to a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 14, shaped by persistent monsoon conditions.** High humidity levels near 85–95%, widespread cloud cover, and a strong chance of evening or overnight thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer pre-monsoon nights. Recent observations show minimums of 26–27°C, with steering winds from the southeast maintaining moist, stable air masses. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around this value, though slight variations in rainfall timing or cloud thickness could nudge the actual low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of a mid-20s reading against tail risks from model divergence or localized heavy rain that might briefly suppress temperatures further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$48Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the India Meteorological Department point to a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 14, shaped by persistent monsoon conditions.** High humidity levels near 85–95%, widespread cloud cover, and a strong chance of evening or overnight thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer pre-monsoon nights. Recent observations show minimums of 26–27°C, with steering winds from the southeast maintaining moist, stable air masses. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around this value, though slight variations in rainfall timing or cloud thickness could nudge the actual low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of a mid-20s reading against tail risks from model divergence or localized heavy rain that might briefly suppress temperatures further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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