Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Lucknow minimum temperatures on September 19 will likely fall in the mid-20s°C range, aligning with historical late-September averages of 24–25°C amid waning monsoon influence. Persistent humidity, variable cloud cover, and potential light rainfall from residual moisture can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and limit drops below 25°C, while clearer skies or drier air intrusions could allow modest cooling. This genuine uncertainty around steering patterns and local boundary-layer conditions explains the near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, with specific mid-range buckets reflecting model spread. Updated IMD and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will provide clearer signals on the overnight low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 19?
20°C or below 100%
30°C or higher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
20°C or below
100%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
98%
20°C or below 100%
30°C or higher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
20°C or below
100%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Lucknow minimum temperatures on September 19 will likely fall in the mid-20s°C range, aligning with historical late-September averages of 24–25°C amid waning monsoon influence. Persistent humidity, variable cloud cover, and potential light rainfall from residual moisture can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and limit drops below 25°C, while clearer skies or drier air intrusions could allow modest cooling. This genuine uncertainty around steering patterns and local boundary-layer conditions explains the near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, with specific mid-range buckets reflecting model spread. Updated IMD and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will provide clearer signals on the overnight low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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