Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C for Lucknow on September 18, consistent with late-monsoon conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 70%, and scattered thundershowers that moderate radiative cooling. These factors suppress typical diurnal ranges, aligning with historical September minima averaging 24–26°C while recent observations show similar readings around 25–27°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 26°C as the leading outcome, reflecting model consensus on stable steering patterns and limited cold-air advection, though minor forecast shifts in precipitation timing or wind could adjust the final minimum within the 25–27°C band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
26°C 54%
31°C or higher 39%
21°C or below 37%
24°C 33%
21°C or below
37%
22°C
14%
23°C
30%
24°C
33%
25°C
19%
26°C
60%
27°C
26%
28°C
33%
29°C
33%
30°C
28%
31°C or higher
39%
26°C 54%
31°C or higher 39%
21°C or below 37%
24°C 33%
21°C or below
37%
22°C
14%
23°C
30%
24°C
33%
25°C
19%
26°C
60%
27°C
26%
28°C
33%
29°C
33%
30°C
28%
31°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C for Lucknow on September 18, consistent with late-monsoon conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 70%, and scattered thundershowers that moderate radiative cooling. These factors suppress typical diurnal ranges, aligning with historical September minima averaging 24–26°C while recent observations show similar readings around 25–27°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 26°C as the leading outcome, reflecting model consensus on stable steering patterns and limited cold-air advection, though minor forecast shifts in precipitation timing or wind could adjust the final minimum within the 25–27°C band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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