Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Qingdao's overnight low on September 20 near 20–21°C under partly cloudy conditions with light variable winds shifting from south to north. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure influence and modest diurnal cooling typical for mid-September in the region, where historical minima average around 18°C. Trader odds clustering near 19–21°C reflect model agreement on these mild conditions, while the near-even split between 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher bins highlights residual uncertainty from potential cloud-cover variations or localized wind shifts that could alter radiational cooling rates by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges as the date approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 20?
25°C or higher 96%
15°C or below 87%
18°C 40%
16°C 39%
15°C or below
87%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
30%
20°C
30%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
96%
25°C or higher 96%
15°C or below 87%
18°C 40%
16°C 39%
15°C or below
87%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
30%
20°C
30%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Qingdao's overnight low on September 20 near 20–21°C under partly cloudy conditions with light variable winds shifting from south to north. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure influence and modest diurnal cooling typical for mid-September in the region, where historical minima average around 18°C. Trader odds clustering near 19–21°C reflect model agreement on these mild conditions, while the near-even split between 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher bins highlights residual uncertainty from potential cloud-cover variations or localized wind shifts that could alter radiational cooling rates by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges as the date approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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