Current forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a minimum temperature of 19–20°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 18, driven by easterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 14–16°C under stable high pressure. This consensus supports the market's heaviest positioning on 20°C (43.5%) and 19°C (31.0%), as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range numerical weather prediction. Recent observations show overnight lows near 20–21°C with light winds, offering little indication of stronger radiational cooling or frontal passage that could push readings to 18°C or below. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
19°C 44%
20°C 41%
21°C 11%
18°C 10%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
10%
19°C
44%
20°C
41%
21°C
11%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
19°C 44%
20°C 41%
21°C 11%
18°C 10%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
10%
19°C
44%
20°C
41%
21°C
11%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a minimum temperature of 19–20°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 18, driven by easterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 14–16°C under stable high pressure. This consensus supports the market's heaviest positioning on 20°C (43.5%) and 19°C (31.0%), as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range numerical weather prediction. Recent observations show overnight lows near 20–21°C with light winds, offering little indication of stronger radiational cooling or frontal passage that could push readings to 18°C or below. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp