**Current forecasts and observations indicate the overnight low in Shenzhen on September 11, 2026, will reach 26°C, aligning with the market's 98% implied probability for that outcome.** Subtropical conditions, persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 70-90%), and light easterly or northeasterly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling further. Multiple models and reports show daily lows clustered around 24-26°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 24°C amid the lingering warm, moist monsoon influence. The strong trader consensus reflects real-time data from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and PredictWind showing no credible pathway to 25°C or below on this date. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp drop in cloud cover or an unforecasted cold surge, both improbable given stable atmospheric patterns and short remaining time window before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 11?
26°C 100.0%
25°C 8%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$622 KL.
$622 KL.
Sep 11, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
25°C 8%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$622 KL.
$622 KL.
Sep 11, 2026
20°C or below
$20 KL.
No
21°C
$20 KL.
No
22°C
$5 KL.
No
23°C
$30 KL.
No
24°C
$83 KL.
No
25°C
$129 KL.
No
26°C
$110 KL.
Yes
27°C
$25 KL.
No
28°C
$15 KL.
No
29°C
$25 KL.
No
30°C or higher
$160 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and observations indicate the overnight low in Shenzhen on September 11, 2026, will reach 26°C, aligning with the market's 98% implied probability for that outcome.**
Subtropical conditions, persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 70-90%), and light easterly or northeasterly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling further. Multiple models and reports show daily lows clustered around 24-26°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 24°C amid the lingering warm, moist monsoon influence.
The strong trader consensus reflects real-time data from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and PredictWind showing no credible pathway to 25°C or below on this date. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp drop in cloud cover or an unforecasted cold surge, both improbable given stable atmospheric patterns and short remaining time window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$622Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and observations indicate the overnight low in Shenzhen on September 11, 2026, will reach 26°C, aligning with the market's 98% implied probability for that outcome.**
Subtropical conditions, persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 70-90%), and light easterly or northeasterly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling further. Multiple models and reports show daily lows clustered around 24-26°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 24°C amid the lingering warm, moist monsoon influence.
The strong trader consensus reflects real-time data from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and PredictWind showing no credible pathway to 25°C or below on this date. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp drop in cloud cover or an unforecasted cold surge, both improbable given stable atmospheric patterns and short remaining time window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$622Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Current forecasts and observations indicate the overnight low in Shenzhen on September 11, 2026, will reach 26°C, aligning with the market's 98% implied probability for that outcome.** Subtropical conditions, persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 70-90%), and light easterly or northeasterly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling further. Multiple models and reports show daily lows clustered around 24-26°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 24°C amid the lingering warm, moist monsoon influence. The strong trader consensus reflects real-time data from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and PredictWind showing no credible pathway to 25°C or below on this date. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp drop in cloud cover or an unforecasted cold surge, both improbable given stable atmospheric patterns and short remaining time window before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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