Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Tokyo on September 2 centered on 24–25 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow and high humidity. This positioning reflects stable late-summer synoptic patterns without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences, consistent with early-September climatology showing typical lows near 23–24 °C. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover or localized wind shifts could alter the exact reading by 1 °C, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive. Traders appear to weight the tight model consensus and limited forecast spread heavily ahead of official JMA observations that will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 2?
25°C 49%
24°C 32%
26°C 16%
22°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
12%
23°C
8%
24°C
32%
25°C
49%
26°C
16%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 49%
24°C 32%
26°C 16%
22°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
$20 KL.
1%
21°C
$5 KL.
9%
22°C
$40 KL.
12%
23°C
$20 KL.
8%
24°C
$51 KL.
32%
25°C
$116 KL.
49%
26°C
$324 KL.
16%
27°C
$48 KL.
9%
28°C
$5 KL.
9%
29°C
$20 KL.
1%
30°C or higher
$20 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Tokyo on September 2 centered on 24–25 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow and high humidity. This positioning reflects stable late-summer synoptic patterns without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences, consistent with early-September climatology showing typical lows near 23–24 °C. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover or localized wind shifts could alter the exact reading by 1 °C, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive. Traders appear to weight the tight model consensus and limited forecast spread heavily ahead of official JMA observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$669Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Tokyo on September 2 centered on 24–25 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow and high humidity. This positioning reflects stable late-summer synoptic patterns without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences, consistent with early-September climatology showing typical lows near 23–24 °C. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover or localized wind shifts could alter the exact reading by 1 °C, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive. Traders appear to weight the tight model consensus and limited forecast spread heavily ahead of official JMA observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$669Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Tokyo on September 2 centered on 24–25 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow and high humidity. This positioning reflects stable late-summer synoptic patterns without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences, consistent with early-September climatology showing typical lows near 23–24 °C. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover or localized wind shifts could alter the exact reading by 1 °C, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive. Traders appear to weight the tight model consensus and limited forecast spread heavily ahead of official JMA observations that will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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