The Trump administration's shift toward direct equity investments in strategic sectors has accelerated since early 2025, with over $20 billion committed across roughly sixteen deals in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense-related technologies to reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. Notable actions include converting CHIPS Act funding into an approximately 10% stake in Intel, a 15% position in MP Materials via the Department of Defense, and minority stakes in nine quantum-computing firms announced in May 2026. Recent reporting on preliminary talks with AI developers such as OpenAI has introduced new variables that could expand the portfolio further. Trader consensus reflected in current odds favors quantum and defense-adjacent names like Rigetti while assigning lower probabilities to larger tech or legacy industrial firms absent fresh announcements or policy signals through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$158,248 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
GlobalFoundries
81%
Rigetti
73%
D-Wave
69%
Unusual Machines
51%
OpenAI
27%
Anduril
23%
Lockheed Martin
19%
Anthropic
18%
Nvidia
15%
Boeing
14%
IonQ
14%
Eli Lilly
13%
Pfizer
13%
TSMC
12%
Micron
11%
Palantir
10%
SpaceX
9%
Freeport-McMoRan
9%
TikTok US / Bytedance
7%
Samsung Electronics
5%
$158,248 KL.
GlobalFoundries
$5,134 KL.
81%
Rigetti
$24,642 KL.
73%
D-Wave
$3,615 KL.
69%
Unusual Machines
$3 KL.
51%
OpenAI
$7,662 KL.
27%
Anduril
$42,084 KL.
23%
Lockheed Martin
$1,932 KL.
19%
Anthropic
$3,525 KL.
18%
Nvidia
$15,668 KL.
15%
Boeing
$8,718 KL.
14%
IonQ
$1,451 KL.
14%
Eli Lilly
$2,642 KL.
13%
Pfizer
$5,932 KL.
13%
TSMC
$13,848 KL.
12%
Micron
$1,385 KL.
11%
Palantir
$2,887 KL.
10%
SpaceX
$18 KL.
9%
Freeport-McMoRan
$1,271 KL.
9%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$5,806 KL.
7%
Samsung Electronics
$10,027 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's shift toward direct equity investments in strategic sectors has accelerated since early 2025, with over $20 billion committed across roughly sixteen deals in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense-related technologies to reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. Notable actions include converting CHIPS Act funding into an approximately 10% stake in Intel, a 15% position in MP Materials via the Department of Defense, and minority stakes in nine quantum-computing firms announced in May 2026. Recent reporting on preliminary talks with AI developers such as OpenAI has introduced new variables that could expand the portfolio further. Trader consensus reflected in current odds favors quantum and defense-adjacent names like Rigetti while assigning lower probabilities to larger tech or legacy industrial firms absent fresh announcements or policy signals through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Khối lượng
$158,248Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's shift toward direct equity investments in strategic sectors has accelerated since early 2025, with over $20 billion committed across roughly sixteen deals in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense-related technologies to reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. Notable actions include converting CHIPS Act funding into an approximately 10% stake in Intel, a 15% position in MP Materials via the Department of Defense, and minority stakes in nine quantum-computing firms announced in May 2026. Recent reporting on preliminary talks with AI developers such as OpenAI has introduced new variables that could expand the portfolio further. Trader consensus reflected in current odds favors quantum and defense-adjacent names like Rigetti while assigning lower probabilities to larger tech or legacy industrial firms absent fresh announcements or policy signals through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$158,248Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's shift toward direct equity investments in strategic sectors has accelerated since early 2025, with over $20 billion committed across roughly sixteen deals in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense-related technologies to reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. Notable actions include converting CHIPS Act funding into an approximately 10% stake in Intel, a 15% position in MP Materials via the Department of Defense, and minority stakes in nine quantum-computing firms announced in May 2026. Recent reporting on preliminary talks with AI developers such as OpenAI has introduced new variables that could expand the portfolio further. Trader consensus reflected in current odds favors quantum and defense-adjacent names like Rigetti while assigning lower probabilities to larger tech or legacy industrial firms absent fresh announcements or policy signals through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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