Anthropic's official launch of Claude Mythos 5 on June 9, 2026, as a limited preview under Project Glasswing has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward an on-or-prior-to-June-9 resolution. The update delivered measurable gains in cybersecurity, biology, and healthcare benchmarks for the model class first previewed in April, with immediate availability to select partners for controlled testing. This aligns with Anthropic's pattern of gated rollouts for high-capability systems that demonstrate advanced zero-day discovery and exploit generation. While the 100% market-implied odds reflect strong confirmation through the company's announcements and partner access, outcomes could still shift if resolution criteria require broader public availability, full API integration, or specific feature thresholds not yet met in the initial rollout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Claude Mythos released on…?
Claude Mythos released on…?
On or prior to June 9 99.8%
June 11 <1%
June 10 <1%
June 12 <1%
$146,984 交易量
$146,984 交易量
2026-06-30
On or prior to June 9
Yes
June 10
No
June 11
No
June 12
No
June 13
No
June 14
No
June 15
No
June 16
No
June 17
No
June 18
No
June 19
No
June 20
No
June 21
No
June 22
No
June 23
No
June 24
No
June 25
No
June 26
No
June 27
No
June 28
No
June 29
No
June 30
No
Not released by June 30
No
On or prior to June 9 99.8%
June 11 <1%
June 10 <1%
June 12 <1%
$146,984 交易量
$146,984 交易量
2026-06-30
On or prior to June 9
$73,134 交易量
Yes
June 10
$24,929 交易量
No
June 11
$8,415 交易量
No
June 12
$2,899 交易量
No
June 13
$2,665 交易量
No
June 14
$2,776 交易量
No
June 15
$2,864 交易量
No
June 16
$2,176 交易量
No
June 17
$519 交易量
No
June 18
$946 交易量
No
June 19
$1,142 交易量
No
June 20
$721 交易量
No
June 21
$5,741 交易量
No
June 22
$1,632 交易量
No
June 23
$702 交易量
No
June 24
$612 交易量
No
June 25
$642 交易量
No
June 26
$899 交易量
No
June 27
$669 交易量
No
June 28
$4,027 交易量
No
June 29
$822 交易量
No
June 30
$902 交易量
No
Not released by June 30
$7,150 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic's official launch of Claude Mythos 5 on June 9, 2026, as a limited preview under Project Glasswing has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward an on-or-prior-to-June-9 resolution. The update delivered measurable gains in cybersecurity, biology, and healthcare benchmarks for the model class first previewed in April, with immediate availability to select partners for controlled testing. This aligns with Anthropic's pattern of gated rollouts for high-capability systems that demonstrate advanced zero-day discovery and exploit generation. While the 100% market-implied odds reflect strong confirmation through the company's announcements and partner access, outcomes could still shift if resolution criteria require broader public availability, full API integration, or specific feature thresholds not yet met in the initial rollout.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
交易量
$146,984結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic's official launch of Claude Mythos 5 on June 9, 2026, as a limited preview under Project Glasswing has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward an on-or-prior-to-June-9 resolution. The update delivered measurable gains in cybersecurity, biology, and healthcare benchmarks for the model class first previewed in April, with immediate availability to select partners for controlled testing. This aligns with Anthropic's pattern of gated rollouts for high-capability systems that demonstrate advanced zero-day discovery and exploit generation. While the 100% market-implied odds reflect strong confirmation through the company's announcements and partner access, outcomes could still shift if resolution criteria require broader public availability, full API integration, or specific feature thresholds not yet met in the initial rollout.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$146,984結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Anthropic's official launch of Claude Mythos 5 on June 9, 2026, as a limited preview under Project Glasswing has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward an on-or-prior-to-June-9 resolution. The update delivered measurable gains in cybersecurity, biology, and healthcare benchmarks for the model class first previewed in April, with immediate availability to select partners for controlled testing. This aligns with Anthropic's pattern of gated rollouts for high-capability systems that demonstrate advanced zero-day discovery and exploit generation. While the 100% market-implied odds reflect strong confirmation through the company's announcements and partner access, outcomes could still shift if resolution criteria require broader public availability, full API integration, or specific feature thresholds not yet met in the initial rollout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions