Manny Rutinel's decisive June 2026 Democratic primary victory in Colorado's 8th District consolidated party resources and endorsements behind the state representative, positioning him as the clear favorite in trader consensus for the November general election against Republican incumbent Gabe Evans. The swing district, which features a substantial Latino electorate and has seen margins under 3 points in recent cycles, draws heavy national investment from both parties as a potential House control pivot. Rutinel's subsequent resignation from the state legislature to focus full-time on the race and strong early fundraising have reinforced momentum, while Evans retains advantages in cash reserves and incumbency. Recent polling averages and forecasts rate the contest as a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, aligning with the current 77.5% implied probability for Rutinel.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$15,952 交易量
$15,952 交易量
2026-11-03
曼尼·魯蒂內爾（民主黨）
77%
蓋博·埃文斯（共和黨）
22%
$15,952 交易量
$15,952 交易量
2026-11-03
曼尼·魯蒂內爾（民主黨）
$8,600 交易量
77%
蓋博·埃文斯（共和黨）
$7,352 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Manny Rutinel's decisive June 2026 Democratic primary victory in Colorado's 8th District consolidated party resources and endorsements behind the state representative, positioning him as the clear favorite in trader consensus for the November general election against Republican incumbent Gabe Evans. The swing district, which features a substantial Latino electorate and has seen margins under 3 points in recent cycles, draws heavy national investment from both parties as a potential House control pivot. Rutinel's subsequent resignation from the state legislature to focus full-time on the race and strong early fundraising have reinforced momentum, while Evans retains advantages in cash reserves and incumbency. Recent polling averages and forecasts rate the contest as a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, aligning with the current 77.5% implied probability for Rutinel.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
交易量
$15,952結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Manny Rutinel's decisive June 2026 Democratic primary victory in Colorado's 8th District consolidated party resources and endorsements behind the state representative, positioning him as the clear favorite in trader consensus for the November general election against Republican incumbent Gabe Evans. The swing district, which features a substantial Latino electorate and has seen margins under 3 points in recent cycles, draws heavy national investment from both parties as a potential House control pivot. Rutinel's subsequent resignation from the state legislature to focus full-time on the race and strong early fundraising have reinforced momentum, while Evans retains advantages in cash reserves and incumbency. Recent polling averages and forecasts rate the contest as a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, aligning with the current 77.5% implied probability for Rutinel.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,952結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETManny Rutinel's decisive June 2026 Democratic primary victory in Colorado's 8th District consolidated party resources and endorsements behind the state representative, positioning him as the clear favorite in trader consensus for the November general election against Republican incumbent Gabe Evans. The swing district, which features a substantial Latino electorate and has seen margins under 3 points in recent cycles, draws heavy national investment from both parties as a potential House control pivot. Rutinel's subsequent resignation from the state legislature to focus full-time on the race and strong early fundraising have reinforced momentum, while Evans retains advantages in cash reserves and incumbency. Recent polling averages and forecasts rate the contest as a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, aligning with the current 77.5% implied probability for Rutinel.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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