Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 14-21, reflecting his recent averages of 30-40 posts per day amid fluctuating engagement driven by Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. The prior week's ramp-up—peaking at 78 posts on April 12-13—has set a strong early pace through April 15, but closely matched odds in 240-259 (15.5%), 260-279 (18.5%), and 280-299 (15.5%) highlight uncertainty over daily variability, with spikes during viral moments or lulls from business travel. Key swing factors include emerging xAI announcements or Trump administration news before the April 21 cutoff, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in capturing his unpredictable social media rhythm.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於260-279 19%
240-259 16%
280-299 16%
300-319 14%
$3,258,999 交易量
$3,258,999 交易量
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
5%
220-239
11%
240-259
16%
260-279
19%
280-299
16%
300-319
14%
320-339
7%
340-359
5%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 19%
240-259 16%
280-299 16%
300-319 14%
$3,258,999 交易量
$3,258,999 交易量
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
5%
220-239
11%
240-259
16%
260-279
19%
280-299
16%
300-319
14%
320-339
7%
340-359
5%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 14-21, reflecting his recent averages of 30-40 posts per day amid fluctuating engagement driven by Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. The prior week's ramp-up—peaking at 78 posts on April 12-13—has set a strong early pace through April 15, but closely matched odds in 240-259 (15.5%), 260-279 (18.5%), and 280-299 (15.5%) highlight uncertainty over daily variability, with spikes during viral moments or lulls from business travel. Key swing factors include emerging xAI announcements or Trump administration news before the April 21 cutoff, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in capturing his unpredictable social media rhythm.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions