Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post count market for April 16–18 heavily favors the 65–89 range at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40–64 at 28.5%, reflecting his consistent high-volume activity including main feed posts, quotes, and reposts. This positioning stems from the prior 3-day window (April 13–15, 12:00 PM ET) resolving at exactly 69 posts, aligning with the leading bin and reinforcing a 20–25 posts-per-day average amid ongoing viral controversies like his feud with South African President Ramaphosa over Black Economic Empowerment laws and Tesla's AI5 chip tapeout announcement. Recent spikes in engagement from Tesla Semi updates and xAI developments sustain momentum, though replies are excluded from tallies; watch for political or company news through April 18's close to potentially shift the closely contested mid-range outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於65-89 40%
40-64 29%
90-114 19%
115-139 10%
$156,668 交易量
$156,668 交易量
2026-04-18
少於40
3%
40-64
29%
65-89
40%
90-114
19%
115-139
10%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 40%
40-64 29%
90-114 19%
115-139 10%
$156,668 交易量
$156,668 交易量
2026-04-18
少於40
$30,901 交易量
3%
40-64
$10,559 交易量
29%
65-89
$5,348 交易量
40%
90-114
$7,313 交易量
19%
115-139
$9,483 交易量
10%
140-164
$10,514 交易量
3%
165-189
$18,589 交易量
1%
190-214
$23,601 交易量
<1%
215-239
$10,428 交易量
<1%
240+
$30,065 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post count market for April 16–18 heavily favors the 65–89 range at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40–64 at 28.5%, reflecting his consistent high-volume activity including main feed posts, quotes, and reposts. This positioning stems from the prior 3-day window (April 13–15, 12:00 PM ET) resolving at exactly 69 posts, aligning with the leading bin and reinforcing a 20–25 posts-per-day average amid ongoing viral controversies like his feud with South African President Ramaphosa over Black Economic Empowerment laws and Tesla's AI5 chip tapeout announcement. Recent spikes in engagement from Tesla Semi updates and xAI developments sustain momentum, though replies are excluded from tallies; watch for political or company news through April 18's close to potentially shift the closely contested mid-range outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$156,668結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post count market for April 16–18 heavily favors the 65–89 range at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40–64 at 28.5%, reflecting his consistent high-volume activity including main feed posts, quotes, and reposts. This positioning stems from the prior 3-day window (April 13–15, 12:00 PM ET) resolving at exactly 69 posts, aligning with the leading bin and reinforcing a 20–25 posts-per-day average amid ongoing viral controversies like his feud with South African President Ramaphosa over Black Economic Empowerment laws and Tesla's AI5 chip tapeout announcement. Recent spikes in engagement from Tesla Semi updates and xAI developments sustain momentum, though replies are excluded from tallies; watch for political or company news through April 18's close to potentially shift the closely contested mid-range outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$156,668結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post count market for April 16–18 heavily favors the 65–89 range at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40–64 at 28.5%, reflecting his consistent high-volume activity including main feed posts, quotes, and reposts. This positioning stems from the prior 3-day window (April 13–15, 12:00 PM ET) resolving at exactly 69 posts, aligning with the leading bin and reinforcing a 20–25 posts-per-day average amid ongoing viral controversies like his feud with South African President Ramaphosa over Black Economic Empowerment laws and Tesla's AI5 chip tapeout announcement. Recent spikes in engagement from Tesla Semi updates and xAI developments sustain momentum, though replies are excluded from tallies; watch for political or company news through April 18's close to potentially shift the closely contested mid-range outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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