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政治·文化

Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？

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政治·文化

Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？

5月 1

6月 1

5月 1

6月 1

1240-1279 14.6%

1160-1199 13.0%

1200-1239 12.8%

1280-1319 11.4%

Polymarket

$7,872,762 交易量

1240-1279 14.6%

1160-1199 13.0%

1200-1239 12.8%

1280-1319 11.4%

Polymarket

$7,872,762 交易量

540-559

$82,256 交易量

<1%

560-579

$99,163 交易量

<1%

580-599

$96,194 交易量

<1%

600-619

$80,290 交易量

<1%

620-639

$127,478 交易量

<1%

640-659

$126,081 交易量

<1%

660-679

$140,961 交易量

<1%

680-699

$52,072 交易量

<1%

700-719

$68,179 交易量

<1%

720-739

$121,538 交易量

<1%

740-759

$80,221 交易量

<1%

760-779

$39,087 交易量

<1%

780-799

$50,104 交易量

<1%

800-839

$72,038 交易量

<1%

840-879

$87,098 交易量

1%

880-919

$151,529 交易量

1%

920-959

$54,729 交易量

1%

960-999

$34,693 交易量

2%

1000-1039

$40,262 交易量

4%

1040-1079

$91,833 交易量

4%

1080-1119

$61,386 交易量

4%

1120-1159

$113,217 交易量

9%

1160-1199

$274,911 交易量

13%

1200-1239

$168,417 交易量

13%

1240-1279

$87,805 交易量

15%

1280-1319

$171,638 交易量

11%

1320-1359

$241,748 交易量

7%

1360-1399

$214,798 交易量

5%

1400-1439

$521,606 交易量

3%

1440-1479

$85,785 交易量

2%

1480-1519

$72,630 交易量

1%

1520-1559

$89,594 交易量

1%

1560-1599

$108,170 交易量

1%

1600-1679

$103,707 交易量

1%

1680-1759

$148,097 交易量

1%

1760-1839

$100,182 交易量

<1%

1840-1919

$156,731 交易量

<1%

1920-1999

$31,354 交易量

<1%

2000條以上

$29,346 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk April 2026 tweet count market clusters tightly around 1160-1279 posts, with leading bins at 12-15% implied probabilities reflecting his steady mid-40s daily average through April 16—mirroring March's 1330 total and recent weekly trackers showing 267 posts from April 10-17. This closely matched race stems from low variance in his viral X activity, punctuated by spikes like 57-78 posts on April 12-13 amid Tesla FSD demos and Grok announcements, balanced against occasional lulls. Key differentiators include potential surges from late-month catalysts such as Tesla Q1 earnings or SpaceX launches, versus slowdowns from travel; with two weeks left, any sustained 45+ daily pace favors higher bins, while sub-35 averages tilt lower. Markets acknowledge the unpredictability of Musk's cultural megaphone.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$7,872,762
結束日期
2026-05-01
市場開放時間
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk April 2026 tweet count market clusters tightly around 1160-1279 posts, with leading bins at 12-15% implied probabilities reflecting his steady mid-40s daily average through April 16—mirroring March's 1330 total and recent weekly trackers showing 267 posts from April 10-17. This closely matched race stems from low variance in his viral X activity, punctuated by spikes like 57-78 posts on April 12-13 amid Tesla FSD demos and Grok announcements, balanced against occasional lulls. Key differentiators include potential surges from late-month catalysts such as Tesla Q1 earnings or SpaceX launches, versus slowdowns from travel; with two weeks left, any sustained 45+ daily pace favors higher bins, while sub-35 averages tilt lower. Markets acknowledge the unpredictability of Musk's cultural megaphone.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$7,872,762
結束日期
2026-05-01
市場開放時間
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1240-1279" at 15%, followed by "1160-1199" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" has generated $7.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" is "1240-1279" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1160-1199" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.