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政治·文化

Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？

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政治·文化

Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？

5月 1

6月 1

5月 1

6月 1

1240-1279 14.1%

1200-1239 12.4%

1160-1199 12.4%

1280-1319 10.6%

Polymarket

$7,700,510 交易量

1240-1279 14.1%

1200-1239 12.4%

1160-1199 12.4%

1280-1319 10.6%

Polymarket

$7,700,510 交易量

540-559

$82,255 交易量

<1%

560-579

$99,162 交易量

<1%

580-599

$96,193 交易量

<1%

600-619

$80,289 交易量

<1%

620-639

$127,477 交易量

<1%

640-659

$124,549 交易量

<1%

660-679

$138,742 交易量

<1%

680-699

$50,968 交易量

<1%

700-719

$68,078 交易量

<1%

720-739

$61,097 交易量

<1%

740-759

$22,850 交易量

<1%

760-779

$37,510 交易量

<1%

780-799

$49,860 交易量

<1%

800-839

$71,794 交易量

1%

840-879

$45,383 交易量

<1%

880-919

$151,278 交易量

<1%

920-959

$54,552 交易量

2%

960-999

$34,582 交易量

2%

1000-1039

$39,530 交易量

5%

1040-1079

$91,812 交易量

5%

1080-1119

$61,371 交易量

4%

1120-1159

$113,159 交易量

10%

1160-1199

$274,867 交易量

12%

1200-1239

$168,086 交易量

12%

1240-1279

$87,588 交易量

14%

1280-1319

$171,597 交易量

11%

1320-1359

$241,684 交易量

6%

1360-1399

$214,773 交易量

4%

1400-1439

$519,117 交易量

4%

1440-1479

$84,749 交易量

2%

1480-1519

$72,551 交易量

1%

1520-1559

$89,594 交易量

1%

1560-1599

$108,170 交易量

1%

1600-1679

$103,707 交易量

1%

1680-1759

$148,097 交易量

1%

1760-1839

$100,182 交易量

<1%

1840-1919

$156,728 交易量

<1%

1920-1999

$31,353 交易量

<1%

2000條以上

$29,345 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 1160-1279 "musk"-containing tweets from Elon Musk in April 2026, with 1240-1279 leading at 14.1% implied probability, reflecting his blistering mid-month pace of 40+ daily posts amid viral clashes over South Africa's Black Economic Empowerment policies and Tesla's AI5 chip tapeout. Recent 48-hour surges—dozens of self-referential dispatches on Starlink access, FSD demos, and Semi trucking—have entrenched high-volume expectations, but the neck-and-neck top bins highlight uncertainty from fluctuating engagement tied to breaking news cycles. Key swing factors include late-April Tesla updates or SpaceX launches, which historically spike Musk's output, versus potential lulls if controversies fade, underscoring the crowd wisdom in these skin-in-the-game celebrity posting markets.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$7,700,510
結束日期
2026-05-01
市場開放時間
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 1160-1279 "musk"-containing tweets from Elon Musk in April 2026, with 1240-1279 leading at 14.1% implied probability, reflecting his blistering mid-month pace of 40+ daily posts amid viral clashes over South Africa's Black Economic Empowerment policies and Tesla's AI5 chip tapeout. Recent 48-hour surges—dozens of self-referential dispatches on Starlink access, FSD demos, and Semi trucking—have entrenched high-volume expectations, but the neck-and-neck top bins highlight uncertainty from fluctuating engagement tied to breaking news cycles. Key swing factors include late-April Tesla updates or SpaceX launches, which historically spike Musk's output, versus potential lulls if controversies fade, underscoring the crowd wisdom in these skin-in-the-game celebrity posting markets.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$7,700,510
結束日期
2026-05-01
市場開放時間
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1240-1279" at 14%, followed by "1160-1199" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" has generated $7.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" is "1240-1279" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1160-1199" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.