Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey’s constitutional framework, with the next scheduled election set for May of that year. No snap election has been called, and recent legal actions against opposition figures, including the ouster of CHP leader Özgür Özel and proceedings involving Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have further consolidated the ruling alliance’s position ahead of any potential early vote. Discussions of constitutional amendments to enable another term remain ongoing but have not altered the immediate timeline. These factors, combined with the absence of acute health or political crises forcing an exit, underpin the strong trader view that Erdoğan will retain office beyond December 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
6% 機率
$612,190 交易量
$612,190 交易量
2026-12-31
賺 3.25% 收益
是
6% 機率
$612,190 交易量
$612,190 交易量
2026-12-31
賺 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey’s constitutional framework, with the next scheduled election set for May of that year. No snap election has been called, and recent legal actions against opposition figures, including the ouster of CHP leader Özgür Özel and proceedings involving Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have further consolidated the ruling alliance’s position ahead of any potential early vote. Discussions of constitutional amendments to enable another term remain ongoing but have not altered the immediate timeline. These factors, combined with the absence of acute health or political crises forcing an exit, underpin the strong trader view that Erdoğan will retain office beyond December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$612,190結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey’s constitutional framework, with the next scheduled election set for May of that year. No snap election has been called, and recent legal actions against opposition figures, including the ouster of CHP leader Özgür Özel and proceedings involving Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have further consolidated the ruling alliance’s position ahead of any potential early vote. Discussions of constitutional amendments to enable another term remain ongoing but have not altered the immediate timeline. These factors, combined with the absence of acute health or political crises forcing an exit, underpin the strong trader view that Erdoğan will retain office beyond December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$612,190結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey’s constitutional framework, with the next scheduled election set for May of that year. No snap election has been called, and recent legal actions against opposition figures, including the ouster of CHP leader Özgür Özel and proceedings involving Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have further consolidated the ruling alliance’s position ahead of any potential early vote. Discussions of constitutional amendments to enable another term remain ongoing but have not altered the immediate timeline. These factors, combined with the absence of acute health or political crises forcing an exit, underpin the strong trader view that Erdoğan will retain office beyond December 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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