Official meteorological observations from Amsterdam-area stations, including Schiphol, recorded a daily maximum of 20 °C on September 10, 2026, aligning precisely with the long-term average high of 19.7 °C for the date. Persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions limited daytime warming while preventing significant cooling or convective activity that might have altered the peak. Model consensus from sources such as GFS and European guidance converged on this narrow range well in advance, giving traders high-confidence confirmation once real-time station data and preliminary daily summaries became available. A post-event revision by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) or an undetected sensor discrepancy remains the only realistic pathway that could shift resolution away from 20 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
20°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$39,750 交易量
$39,750 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$39,750 交易量
$39,750 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations from Amsterdam-area stations, including Schiphol, recorded a daily maximum of 20 °C on September 10, 2026, aligning precisely with the long-term average high of 19.7 °C for the date. Persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions limited daytime warming while preventing significant cooling or convective activity that might have altered the peak. Model consensus from sources such as GFS and European guidance converged on this narrow range well in advance, giving traders high-confidence confirmation once real-time station data and preliminary daily summaries became available. A post-event revision by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) or an undetected sensor discrepancy remains the only realistic pathway that could shift resolution away from 20 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions