The market's near-certain pricing on a 23°C high for Toronto on September 11, 2026, reflects official observations matching the 1991–2020 climatological average high for that date. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern produced typical late-summer conditions without significant warm or cool advection, aligning model guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada with the long-term baseline. Historical analogs show September 11 highs clustering near this value in non-extreme years. A realistic challenge would require a measurement revision from the primary station or an unrecognized microscale influence shifting the daily maximum outside the 23°C bin, though current data consensus makes such an outcome improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日多倫多氣溫最高？
9月11日多倫多氣溫最高？
23°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$52,211 交易量
$52,211 交易量
2026-09-11
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
23°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$52,211 交易量
$52,211 交易量
2026-09-11
18°C或以下
$316 交易量
否
19°C
$268 交易量
否
20°C
$946 交易量
否
21°C
$3,428 交易量
否
22°C
$9,920 交易量
否
23°C
$15,965 交易量
是
24°C
$9,767 交易量
否
25°C
$5,842 交易量
否
26°C
$2,908 交易量
否
27°C
$1,368 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$1,481 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on a 23°C high for Toronto on September 11, 2026, reflects official observations matching the 1991–2020 climatological average high for that date. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern produced typical late-summer conditions without significant warm or cool advection, aligning model guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada with the long-term baseline. Historical analogs show September 11 highs clustering near this value in non-extreme years. A realistic challenge would require a measurement revision from the primary station or an unrecognized microscale influence shifting the daily maximum outside the 23°C bin, though current data consensus makes such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$52,211結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on a 23°C high for Toronto on September 11, 2026, reflects official observations matching the 1991–2020 climatological average high for that date. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern produced typical late-summer conditions without significant warm or cool advection, aligning model guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada with the long-term baseline. Historical analogs show September 11 highs clustering near this value in non-extreme years. A realistic challenge would require a measurement revision from the primary station or an unrecognized microscale influence shifting the daily maximum outside the 23°C bin, though current data consensus makes such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$52,211結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market's near-certain pricing on a 23°C high for Toronto on September 11, 2026, reflects official observations matching the 1991–2020 climatological average high for that date. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern produced typical late-summer conditions without significant warm or cool advection, aligning model guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada with the long-term baseline. Historical analogs show September 11 highs clustering near this value in non-extreme years. A realistic challenge would require a measurement revision from the primary station or an unrecognized microscale influence shifting the daily maximum outside the 23°C bin, though current data consensus makes such an outcome improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions