Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts center Ankara's March 26 high temperature at 13°C, fueling its 31% market-implied probability amid a tight race with 14°C (22.5%) and 12°C (20.5%). This clustering stems from model consensus on mild southerly flow and partial cloud cover during peak afternoon heating, with a 1°C spread reflecting uncertainty in insolation and a lingering weak front. Turkish State Meteorological Service aligns at 13°C, matching March historical averages of 12.8–13.5°C, while recent 12z runs nudged odds upward from cooler 12-hour projections. Traders eye final 00z updates for resolution on diurnal maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on March 26?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 26?
13°C 34%
14°C 24%
12°C 20%
11°C 12%
$10,046 交易量
$10,046 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
12%
12°C
20%
13°C
34%
14°C
24%
15°C
8%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 34%
14°C 24%
12°C 20%
11°C 12%
$10,046 交易量
$10,046 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
12%
12°C
20%
13°C
34%
14°C
24%
15°C
8%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts center Ankara's March 26 high temperature at 13°C, fueling its 31% market-implied probability amid a tight race with 14°C (22.5%) and 12°C (20.5%). This clustering stems from model consensus on mild southerly flow and partial cloud cover during peak afternoon heating, with a 1°C spread reflecting uncertainty in insolation and a lingering weak front. Turkish State Meteorological Service aligns at 13°C, matching March historical averages of 12.8–13.5°C, while recent 12z runs nudged odds upward from cooler 12-hour projections. Traders eye final 00z updates for resolution on diurnal maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions