Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS point to a high of 15-17°C in Seoul on March 28, driving trader sentiment toward mid-teens outcomes like 15°C (17.5%) and 14°C (17.0%), while elevating 18°C or higher (25.5%) on warmer outlier runs amid southerly winds and high pressure ridges. Korea Meteorological Administration projections align around 16°C, but uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover—persistent overcast could drop peaks to 11-13°C (high odds at 16.5-17.0%), while clearer skies boost upper teens. Historical late-March averages hover at 12-14°C, with urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C; watch tomorrow's 12Z model updates for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
18°C or higher 26%
15°C 20%
16°C 18%
13°C 17%
8°C or below
4%
9°C
9%
10°C
11%
11°C
17%
12°C
17%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
20%
16°C
18%
17°C
15%
18°C or higher
26%
18°C or higher 26%
15°C 20%
16°C 18%
13°C 17%
8°C or below
4%
9°C
9%
10°C
11%
11°C
17%
12°C
17%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
20%
16°C
18%
17°C
15%
18°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS point to a high of 15-17°C in Seoul on March 28, driving trader sentiment toward mid-teens outcomes like 15°C (17.5%) and 14°C (17.0%), while elevating 18°C or higher (25.5%) on warmer outlier runs amid southerly winds and high pressure ridges. Korea Meteorological Administration projections align around 16°C, but uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover—persistent overcast could drop peaks to 11-13°C (high odds at 16.5-17.0%), while clearer skies boost upper teens. Historical late-March averages hover at 12-14°C, with urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C; watch tomorrow's 12Z model updates for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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