Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 29–30°C as Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest INMET and ECMWF model ensembles implying peaks near 29°C amid lingering autumn warmth, though GFS runs push toward 31°C with drier conditions. Differentiating factors include a weakening South Atlantic high-pressure ridge risking southerly winds that could cap highs at 28°C or below, per NOAA analyses, versus urban heat island amplification in São Paulo boosting 30+°C odds during calm spells. Historical March averages hover at 27.5°C, but recent +1–2°C anomalies from La Niña transition add uncertainty, with final NWP updates expected 24 hours prior influencing final positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?
29°C 18%
30°C 18%
28°C 17%
26°C 17%
24°C or below
8%
25°C
9%
26°C
17%
27°C
17%
28°C
17%
29°C
18%
30°C
18%
31°C
17%
32°C
14%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
6%
29°C 18%
30°C 18%
28°C 17%
26°C 17%
24°C or below
8%
25°C
9%
26°C
17%
27°C
17%
28°C
17%
29°C
18%
30°C
18%
31°C
17%
32°C
14%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 29–30°C as Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest INMET and ECMWF model ensembles implying peaks near 29°C amid lingering autumn warmth, though GFS runs push toward 31°C with drier conditions. Differentiating factors include a weakening South Atlantic high-pressure ridge risking southerly winds that could cap highs at 28°C or below, per NOAA analyses, versus urban heat island amplification in São Paulo boosting 30+°C odds during calm spells. Historical March averages hover at 27.5°C, but recent +1–2°C anomalies from La Niña transition add uncertainty, with final NWP updates expected 24 hours prior influencing final positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions