Latest forecasts from Brazil's INMET and CPTEC models point to a high of 30-32°C in São Paulo on March 27, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 31°C leading at 31%, closely trailed by 30°C and 32°C. This reflects lingering El Niño warmth boosting late-summer peaks amid urban heat island amplification in the city's concrete sprawl, where afternoon solar heating often pushes temperatures 2-3°C above rural stations. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spread—GFS leaning cooler at ~30°C with possible sea breeze moderation, while ECMWF hints hotter at 32°C under high-pressure ridging—and historical March volatility, with 2023's 33°C outlier versus norm of 28°C. Key watch: morning cloud cover updates, as partial clearing could tip toward 32°C+.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月27日聖保羅的最高溫度?
3月27日聖保羅的最高溫度?
31°C 31%
30°C 28%
29°C 16%
32°C 14%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
28%
31°C
31%
32°C
14%
33°C
5%
34°C或以上
2%
31°C 31%
30°C 28%
29°C 16%
32°C 14%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
28%
31°C
31%
32°C
14%
33°C
5%
34°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Brazil's INMET and CPTEC models point to a high of 30-32°C in São Paulo on March 27, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 31°C leading at 31%, closely trailed by 30°C and 32°C. This reflects lingering El Niño warmth boosting late-summer peaks amid urban heat island amplification in the city's concrete sprawl, where afternoon solar heating often pushes temperatures 2-3°C above rural stations. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spread—GFS leaning cooler at ~30°C with possible sea breeze moderation, while ECMWF hints hotter at 32°C under high-pressure ridging—and historical March volatility, with 2023's 33°C outlier versus norm of 28°C. Key watch: morning cloud cover updates, as partial clearing could tip toward 32°C+.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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