Trader sentiment for Denver's highest temperature on March 28 hinges on divergent long-range forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, with the GFS ensemble leaning toward a high-pressure ridge over the Rockies that could amplify downslope chinook winds and push peaks into the low 80s (25.5% market-implied odds), while ECMWF runs introduce cooler scenarios around 74-77°F (combined ~35% odds) via potential frontal intrusions. Historical March averages hover near 57°F at Denver International Airport, but similar setups have yielded 80°F+ outliers; current model spread reflects uncertainty in jet stream positioning, fragmenting probabilities across upper-70s bins as traders await NWS Boulder updates and observed DIA readings for precise resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
80°F or higher 26%
76-77°F 18%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 17%
61°F or below
8%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
18%
80°F or higher
26%
80°F or higher 26%
76-77°F 18%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 17%
61°F or below
8%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
18%
80°F or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Denver's highest temperature on March 28 hinges on divergent long-range forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, with the GFS ensemble leaning toward a high-pressure ridge over the Rockies that could amplify downslope chinook winds and push peaks into the low 80s (25.5% market-implied odds), while ECMWF runs introduce cooler scenarios around 74-77°F (combined ~35% odds) via potential frontal intrusions. Historical March averages hover near 57°F at Denver International Airport, but similar setups have yielded 80°F+ outliers; current model spread reflects uncertainty in jet stream positioning, fragmenting probabilities across upper-70s bins as traders await NWS Boulder updates and observed DIA readings for precise resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions