Trader sentiment for Denver's highest temperature on March 27 remains tightly clustered around 50-51°F (22% implied probability) and 62-63°F (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, which ensemble means hover near 52°F but show a 10-15°F spread due to uncertainty in upper-air ridge positioning over the Rockies. Recent 00Z model runs tilted slightly cooler with lingering effects from a departing Pacific trough, favoring sub-52°F outcomes, while warmer scenarios hinge on stronger downslope winds and solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Historical March 27 highs average 57°F at Denver International Airport, but spring frontal variability amplifies risks of outliers, with final NWS updates expected 24 hours prior influencing late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
62-63°F 20%
49°F or below 20%
50-51°F 19%
64-65°F 18.5%
49°F or below
20%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
18%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
3%
68°F or higher
8%
62-63°F 20%
49°F or below 20%
50-51°F 19%
64-65°F 18.5%
49°F or below
20%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
18%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
3%
68°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Denver's highest temperature on March 27 remains tightly clustered around 50-51°F (22% implied probability) and 62-63°F (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, which ensemble means hover near 52°F but show a 10-15°F spread due to uncertainty in upper-air ridge positioning over the Rockies. Recent 00Z model runs tilted slightly cooler with lingering effects from a departing Pacific trough, favoring sub-52°F outcomes, while warmer scenarios hinge on stronger downslope winds and solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Historical March 27 highs average 57°F at Denver International Airport, but spring frontal variability amplifies risks of outliers, with final NWS updates expected 24 hours prior influencing late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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