Trader sentiment for Seoul's highest temperature on March 27 tilts toward mild conditions, with 29.5% implied odds on 16°C or higher driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks of 13-16°C amid a weakening Siberian High and southerly warm air advection. Historical March 27 averages hover around 12°C, but recent Korea Meteorological Administration updates indicate above-normal anomalies due to reduced cloud cover and urban heat effects. Lower outcomes like 11°C or below (10.4% combined) hinge on potential late cold fronts or northerly winds disrupting the pattern, while the broad distribution underscores springtime forecast uncertainty from divergent model runs and frontal timing variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月27日首爾最高溫度?
3月27日首爾最高溫度?
16°C或以上 29%
14°C 18%
15°C 18%
13°C 16%
$12,185 交易量
$12,185 交易量
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
11%
13°C
16%
14°C
18%
15°C
18%
16°C或以上
29%
16°C或以上 29%
14°C 18%
15°C 18%
13°C 16%
$12,185 交易量
$12,185 交易量
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
11%
13°C
16%
14°C
18%
15°C
18%
16°C或以上
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seoul's highest temperature on March 27 tilts toward mild conditions, with 29.5% implied odds on 16°C or higher driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks of 13-16°C amid a weakening Siberian High and southerly warm air advection. Historical March 27 averages hover around 12°C, but recent Korea Meteorological Administration updates indicate above-normal anomalies due to reduced cloud cover and urban heat effects. Lower outcomes like 11°C or below (10.4% combined) hinge on potential late cold fronts or northerly winds disrupting the pattern, while the broad distribution underscores springtime forecast uncertainty from divergent model runs and frontal timing variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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