Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 84-85°F in Atlanta on March 27 (29.5% implied probability), driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF model runs projecting mid-80s peaks under a potent upper-level ridge and warm southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico. This edges out 86-87°F (22%) due to ensemble spreads showing slight cooling from afternoon cloudiness and a weak frontal boundary, per NWS Atlanta's forecast discussion. Differentiating factors include 850mb temperatures around +18°C supporting 85°F potential, but dry-bulb adjustments for urban heat island effects and recent soundings tempering extremes above 87°F. Historical late-March norms (~72°F) underscore the anomalous warmth from persistent blocking highs, with key updates from 12Z GFS runs pivotal for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 27?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 27?
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 17%
88-89°F 12%
$11,450 交易量
$11,450 交易量
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
2%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 17%
88-89°F 12%
$11,450 交易量
$11,450 交易量
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 84-85°F in Atlanta on March 27 (29.5% implied probability), driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF model runs projecting mid-80s peaks under a potent upper-level ridge and warm southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico. This edges out 86-87°F (22%) due to ensemble spreads showing slight cooling from afternoon cloudiness and a weak frontal boundary, per NWS Atlanta's forecast discussion. Differentiating factors include 850mb temperatures around +18°C supporting 85°F potential, but dry-bulb adjustments for urban heat island effects and recent soundings tempering extremes above 87°F. Historical late-March norms (~72°F) underscore the anomalous warmth from persistent blocking highs, with key updates from 12Z GFS runs pivotal for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions