Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on September 10, 2026, call for sunny skies and a high near 89°F, aligning with the market’s strong 59.5% weighting on the 88–89°F bin. Light southeast winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without extreme warmth, while recent days saw cooler readings (82°F on the 9th) that tempered expectations for a bigger surge. Model consensus and climatological baselines around 81–82°F keep the 86–87°F range as the secondary outcome at 29.5%, with only modest odds on 90°F-plus readings given stable steering patterns and no amplifying features. Updated observations and evening verification will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日丹佛的最高溫度?
88-89°F 56%
86-87°F 41%
90-91°F 4%
84-85°F 1.6%
$16,820 交易量
$16,820 交易量
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
56%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F 或更高
<1%
88-89°F 56%
86-87°F 41%
90-91°F 4%
84-85°F 1.6%
$16,820 交易量
$16,820 交易量
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
56%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F 或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on September 10, 2026, call for sunny skies and a high near 89°F, aligning with the market’s strong 59.5% weighting on the 88–89°F bin. Light southeast winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without extreme warmth, while recent days saw cooler readings (82°F on the 9th) that tempered expectations for a bigger surge. Model consensus and climatological baselines around 81–82°F keep the 86–87°F range as the secondary outcome at 29.5%, with only modest odds on 90°F-plus readings given stable steering patterns and no amplifying features. Updated observations and evening verification will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions