Official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson and City Centre, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on September 10, 2026, under mainly sunny skies with west-northwest winds gusting to 35–45 km/h and minimal cloud cover. This aligned closely with pre-event model consensus from GFS and Environment Canada guidance projecting highs of 23–26°C amid near-seasonal September conditions, with afternoon peaks driven by strong solar insolation and light mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects verification against these authoritative surface measurements rather than forecasts. Only an anomalous station discrepancy or post-analysis revision would realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日多倫多氣溫最高？
9月10日多倫多氣溫最高？
25°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$76,503 交易量
$76,503 交易量
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$76,503 交易量
$76,503 交易量
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
$421 交易量
否
18°C
$867 交易量
否
19°C
$529 交易量
否
20°C
$882 交易量
否
21°C
$347 交易量
否
22°C
$2,417 交易量
否
23°C
$6,918 交易量
否
24°C
$25,265 交易量
否
25°C
$16,941 交易量
是
26°C
$15,497 交易量
否
27°C或以上
$6,419 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson and City Centre, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on September 10, 2026, under mainly sunny skies with west-northwest winds gusting to 35–45 km/h and minimal cloud cover. This aligned closely with pre-event model consensus from GFS and Environment Canada guidance projecting highs of 23–26°C amid near-seasonal September conditions, with afternoon peaks driven by strong solar insolation and light mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects verification against these authoritative surface measurements rather than forecasts. Only an anomalous station discrepancy or post-analysis revision would realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$76,503結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson and City Centre, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on September 10, 2026, under mainly sunny skies with west-northwest winds gusting to 35–45 km/h and minimal cloud cover. This aligned closely with pre-event model consensus from GFS and Environment Canada guidance projecting highs of 23–26°C amid near-seasonal September conditions, with afternoon peaks driven by strong solar insolation and light mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects verification against these authoritative surface measurements rather than forecasts. Only an anomalous station discrepancy or post-analysis revision would realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$76,503結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson and City Centre, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on September 10, 2026, under mainly sunny skies with west-northwest winds gusting to 35–45 km/h and minimal cloud cover. This aligned closely with pre-event model consensus from GFS and Environment Canada guidance projecting highs of 23–26°C amid near-seasonal September conditions, with afternoon peaks driven by strong solar insolation and light mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects verification against these authoritative surface measurements rather than forecasts. Only an anomalous station discrepancy or post-analysis revision would realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions