Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate a daily maximum near 33°C for Lucknow on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market-implied 70% probability for that outcome. Persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70-80%, and scattered thunderstorms are suppressing peak heating, consistent with September climatology where average highs reach about 33°C. Hourly data show temperatures climbing to 34-35°C midday before afternoon convection, explaining modest probabilities for 34°C while rendering extremes above 35°C or below 32°C unlikely under current steering patterns and cloud cover. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine the final recorded maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
9月10日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
33°C 94%
34°C 11%
35°C 2%
36°C <1%
$16,314 交易量
$16,314 交易量
2026-09-10
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
87%
34°C
12%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
33°C 94%
34°C 11%
35°C 2%
36°C <1%
$16,314 交易量
$16,314 交易量
2026-09-10
27°C或以下
$500 交易量
<1%
28°C
$215 交易量
<1%
29°C
$555 交易量
<1%
30°C
$726 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,047 交易量
<1%
32°C
$6,732 交易量
<1%
33°C
$2,226 交易量
87%
34°C
$2,564 交易量
12%
35°C
$1,220 交易量
2%
36°C
$312 交易量
<1%
37°C或以上
$217 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate a daily maximum near 33°C for Lucknow on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market-implied 70% probability for that outcome. Persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70-80%, and scattered thunderstorms are suppressing peak heating, consistent with September climatology where average highs reach about 33°C. Hourly data show temperatures climbing to 34-35°C midday before afternoon convection, explaining modest probabilities for 34°C while rendering extremes above 35°C or below 32°C unlikely under current steering patterns and cloud cover. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,314結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate a daily maximum near 33°C for Lucknow on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market-implied 70% probability for that outcome. Persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70-80%, and scattered thunderstorms are suppressing peak heating, consistent with September climatology where average highs reach about 33°C. Hourly data show temperatures climbing to 34-35°C midday before afternoon convection, explaining modest probabilities for 34°C while rendering extremes above 35°C or below 32°C unlikely under current steering patterns and cloud cover. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,314結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate a daily maximum near 33°C for Lucknow on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market-implied 70% probability for that outcome. Persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70-80%, and scattered thunderstorms are suppressing peak heating, consistent with September climatology where average highs reach about 33°C. Hourly data show temperatures climbing to 34-35°C midday before afternoon convection, explaining modest probabilities for 34°C while rendering extremes above 35°C or below 32°C unlikely under current steering patterns and cloud cover. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine the final recorded maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions