Traders assign near-certain probability to a Karachi high of 36°C or above on September 12 because multiple forecast models and observational trends show daytime maxima climbing well into the upper 30s Celsius amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation to drive temperatures past historical September averages of 33–35°C. Official monitoring indicates minimal cloud cover or monsoon influence today, supporting rapid surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloudiness, localized thunderstorms, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering winds that caps the peak below the 36°C threshold before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
9月12日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
36°C或以上 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,019 交易量
$21,019 交易量
2026-09-12
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
是
36°C或以上 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,019 交易量
$21,019 交易量
2026-09-12
26°C或以下
$68 交易量
否
27°C
$142 交易量
否
28°C
$137 交易量
否
29°C
$137 交易量
否
30°C
$384 交易量
否
31°C
$599 交易量
否
32°C
$954 交易量
否
33°C
$2,094 交易量
否
34°C
$3,977 交易量
否
35°C
$3,817 交易量
否
36°C或以上
$8,710 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certain probability to a Karachi high of 36°C or above on September 12 because multiple forecast models and observational trends show daytime maxima climbing well into the upper 30s Celsius amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation to drive temperatures past historical September averages of 33–35°C. Official monitoring indicates minimal cloud cover or monsoon influence today, supporting rapid surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloudiness, localized thunderstorms, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering winds that caps the peak below the 36°C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$21,019結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certain probability to a Karachi high of 36°C or above on September 12 because multiple forecast models and observational trends show daytime maxima climbing well into the upper 30s Celsius amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation to drive temperatures past historical September averages of 33–35°C. Official monitoring indicates minimal cloud cover or monsoon influence today, supporting rapid surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloudiness, localized thunderstorms, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering winds that caps the peak below the 36°C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,019結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders assign near-certain probability to a Karachi high of 36°C or above on September 12 because multiple forecast models and observational trends show daytime maxima climbing well into the upper 30s Celsius amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation to drive temperatures past historical September averages of 33–35°C. Official monitoring indicates minimal cloud cover or monsoon influence today, supporting rapid surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloudiness, localized thunderstorms, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering winds that caps the peak below the 36°C threshold before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions