**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 30°C due to the official DOST-PAGASA forecast of a 24–30°C range for Metro Manila.** Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical September conditions where historical highs average 30–32°C but often fall short under rainy-season suppression. Current observations and model consensus show peaks near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F), with high humidity and precipitation further capping extremes. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of official monitoring data and the low likelihood of significant clearing that could push readings higher. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or localized heat buildup could still allow 31°C or above before the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月10日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
30°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$32,876 交易量
$32,876 交易量
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
30°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$32,876 交易量
$32,876 交易量
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
$566 交易量
否
25°C
$1,997 交易量
否
26°C
$487 交易量
否
27°C
$1,595 交易量
否
28°C
$6,000 交易量
否
29°C
$8,540 交易量
否
30°C
$4,092 交易量
是
31°C
$5,438 交易量
否
32°C
$2,989 交易量
否
33°C
$828 交易量
否
34°C或更高
$345 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 30°C due to the official DOST-PAGASA forecast of a 24–30°C range for Metro Manila.** Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical September conditions where historical highs average 30–32°C but often fall short under rainy-season suppression. Current observations and model consensus show peaks near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F), with high humidity and precipitation further capping extremes. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of official monitoring data and the low likelihood of significant clearing that could push readings higher. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or localized heat buildup could still allow 31°C or above before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$32,876結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 30°C due to the official DOST-PAGASA forecast of a 24–30°C range for Metro Manila.** Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical September conditions where historical highs average 30–32°C but often fall short under rainy-season suppression. Current observations and model consensus show peaks near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F), with high humidity and precipitation further capping extremes. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of official monitoring data and the low likelihood of significant clearing that could push readings higher. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or localized heat buildup could still allow 31°C or above before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,876結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 30°C due to the official DOST-PAGASA forecast of a 24–30°C range for Metro Manila.** Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical September conditions where historical highs average 30–32°C but often fall short under rainy-season suppression. Current observations and model consensus show peaks near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F), with high humidity and precipitation further capping extremes. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of official monitoring data and the low likelihood of significant clearing that could push readings higher. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or localized heat buildup could still allow 31°C or above before the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions