**Current official forecasts from PAGASA align with a daily maximum of 32°C in Manila, driving the near-certain market-implied odds.** In the city's tropical monsoon climate during September, daytime highs typically reach 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity. Recent model runs and early observational data from monitoring stations show temperatures peaking near this level without exceeding it, consistent with historical September baselines around 31°C. Resolution hinges on the official recorded high from designated stations, where minor microclimate differences or measurement timing could theoretically alter the outcome, though the consensus data strongly supports 32°C as the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月13日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
32°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$23,655 交易量
$23,655 交易量
2026-09-13
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
32°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$23,655 交易量
$23,655 交易量
2026-09-13
24°C或以下
$247 交易量
否
25°C
$287 交易量
否
26°C
$275 交易量
否
27°C
$113 交易量
否
28°C
$1,249 交易量
否
29°C
$2,635 交易量
否
30°C
$2,072 交易量
否
31°C
$4,995 交易量
否
32°C
$6,152 交易量
是
33°C
$3,619 交易量
否
34°C或以上
$2,011 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official forecasts from PAGASA align with a daily maximum of 32°C in Manila, driving the near-certain market-implied odds.** In the city's tropical monsoon climate during September, daytime highs typically reach 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity. Recent model runs and early observational data from monitoring stations show temperatures peaking near this level without exceeding it, consistent with historical September baselines around 31°C. Resolution hinges on the official recorded high from designated stations, where minor microclimate differences or measurement timing could theoretically alter the outcome, though the consensus data strongly supports 32°C as the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$23,655結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official forecasts from PAGASA align with a daily maximum of 32°C in Manila, driving the near-certain market-implied odds.** In the city's tropical monsoon climate during September, daytime highs typically reach 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity. Recent model runs and early observational data from monitoring stations show temperatures peaking near this level without exceeding it, consistent with historical September baselines around 31°C. Resolution hinges on the official recorded high from designated stations, where minor microclimate differences or measurement timing could theoretically alter the outcome, though the consensus data strongly supports 32°C as the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,655結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Current official forecasts from PAGASA align with a daily maximum of 32°C in Manila, driving the near-certain market-implied odds.** In the city's tropical monsoon climate during September, daytime highs typically reach 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity. Recent model runs and early observational data from monitoring stations show temperatures peaking near this level without exceeding it, consistent with historical September baselines around 31°C. Resolution hinges on the official recorded high from designated stations, where minor microclimate differences or measurement timing could theoretically alter the outcome, though the consensus data strongly supports 32°C as the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions