Official India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts for Lucknow on September 12, 2026, establish a daily maximum of 33°C under generally cloudy skies transitioning to partly cloudy with limited rainfall, aligning precisely with the market-implied 100% probability for that threshold. Multiple station reports, including Lucknow Airport, record this peak amid typical late-monsoon humidity levels near 70-80% and light easterly winds, consistent with regional model consensus from sources like IMD and international guidance. This outcome reflects strong data convergence rather than speculation. Only substantial, unforecast convective development or station-specific measurement anomalies could realistically shift the recorded high below 33°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
33°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$16,281 交易量
$16,281 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$16,281 交易量
$16,281 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts for Lucknow on September 12, 2026, establish a daily maximum of 33°C under generally cloudy skies transitioning to partly cloudy with limited rainfall, aligning precisely with the market-implied 100% probability for that threshold. Multiple station reports, including Lucknow Airport, record this peak amid typical late-monsoon humidity levels near 70-80% and light easterly winds, consistent with regional model consensus from sources like IMD and international guidance. This outcome reflects strong data convergence rather than speculation. Only substantial, unforecast convective development or station-specific measurement anomalies could realistically shift the recorded high below 33°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions