Recent cold air advection from the north has driven a sharp cooldown across central China, positioning Wuhan for a September 10 high near 26–27°C under mostly clear skies and sustained northerly winds of 3–4 levels. Multiple official and international forecasts converge on this range, reflecting the influence of a passing high-pressure system that limits daytime heating while enhancing ventilation. Historical early-September averages hover near 28–29°C, so the current pattern represents a noticeable departure consistent with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Low precipitation risk and stable steering flow reduce upside potential for warmer readings, though minor forecast revisions from updated model runs could still shift probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日武漢氣溫最高？
9月10日武漢氣溫最高？
26°C 37%
25°C 25%
27°C 22%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
25%
26°C
37%
27°C
22%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C 25%
27°C 22%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
23°C或以下
$183 交易量
2%
24°C
$564 交易量
10%
25°C
$1,149 交易量
25%
26°C
$1,646 交易量
37%
27°C
$1,114 交易量
22%
28°C
$1,823 交易量
5%
29°C
$1,355 交易量
2%
30°C
$638 交易量
<1%
31°C
$256 交易量
<1%
32°C
$555 交易量
<1%
33°C或以上
$438 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from the north has driven a sharp cooldown across central China, positioning Wuhan for a September 10 high near 26–27°C under mostly clear skies and sustained northerly winds of 3–4 levels. Multiple official and international forecasts converge on this range, reflecting the influence of a passing high-pressure system that limits daytime heating while enhancing ventilation. Historical early-September averages hover near 28–29°C, so the current pattern represents a noticeable departure consistent with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Low precipitation risk and stable steering flow reduce upside potential for warmer readings, though minor forecast revisions from updated model runs could still shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$9,720結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from the north has driven a sharp cooldown across central China, positioning Wuhan for a September 10 high near 26–27°C under mostly clear skies and sustained northerly winds of 3–4 levels. Multiple official and international forecasts converge on this range, reflecting the influence of a passing high-pressure system that limits daytime heating while enhancing ventilation. Historical early-September averages hover near 28–29°C, so the current pattern represents a noticeable departure consistent with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Low precipitation risk and stable steering flow reduce upside potential for warmer readings, though minor forecast revisions from updated model runs could still shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,720結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent cold air advection from the north has driven a sharp cooldown across central China, positioning Wuhan for a September 10 high near 26–27°C under mostly clear skies and sustained northerly winds of 3–4 levels. Multiple official and international forecasts converge on this range, reflecting the influence of a passing high-pressure system that limits daytime heating while enhancing ventilation. Historical early-September averages hover near 28–29°C, so the current pattern represents a noticeable departure consistent with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Low precipitation risk and stable steering flow reduce upside potential for warmer readings, though minor forecast revisions from updated model runs could still shift probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions