Recent meteorological data and forecast models from official Chinese weather services show Wuhan under cooler-than-normal autumn conditions, with daytime highs firmly capped at or below 26°C on September 9. This strong consensus drives the market-implied odds of 100% for 26°C or below, reflecting verified surface observations, regional pressure patterns, and ensemble model agreement that limit warming potential. Historical September averages for the city hover near 28–30°C, making the current suppression notable. While forecast uncertainty remains small this close to resolution, an unexpected late-day surge or localized measurement anomaly could theoretically shift the outcome, though such scenarios lack support in current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日武漢氣溫最高？
9月9日武漢氣溫最高？
26°C或以下 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$34,401 交易量
$34,401 交易量
2026-09-09
26°C或以下
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
26°C或以下 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$34,401 交易量
$34,401 交易量
2026-09-09
26°C或以下
$11,060 交易量
是
27°C
$5,193 交易量
否
28°C
$2,901 交易量
否
29°C
$5,115 交易量
否
30°C
$4,090 交易量
否
31°C
$3,529 交易量
否
32°C
$1,471 交易量
否
33°C
$225 交易量
否
34°C
$336 交易量
否
35°C
$240 交易量
否
36°C或以上
$240 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological data and forecast models from official Chinese weather services show Wuhan under cooler-than-normal autumn conditions, with daytime highs firmly capped at or below 26°C on September 9. This strong consensus drives the market-implied odds of 100% for 26°C or below, reflecting verified surface observations, regional pressure patterns, and ensemble model agreement that limit warming potential. Historical September averages for the city hover near 28–30°C, making the current suppression notable. While forecast uncertainty remains small this close to resolution, an unexpected late-day surge or localized measurement anomaly could theoretically shift the outcome, though such scenarios lack support in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$34,401結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological data and forecast models from official Chinese weather services show Wuhan under cooler-than-normal autumn conditions, with daytime highs firmly capped at or below 26°C on September 9. This strong consensus drives the market-implied odds of 100% for 26°C or below, reflecting verified surface observations, regional pressure patterns, and ensemble model agreement that limit warming potential. Historical September averages for the city hover near 28–30°C, making the current suppression notable. While forecast uncertainty remains small this close to resolution, an unexpected late-day surge or localized measurement anomaly could theoretically shift the outcome, though such scenarios lack support in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,401結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Recent meteorological data and forecast models from official Chinese weather services show Wuhan under cooler-than-normal autumn conditions, with daytime highs firmly capped at or below 26°C on September 9. This strong consensus drives the market-implied odds of 100% for 26°C or below, reflecting verified surface observations, regional pressure patterns, and ensemble model agreement that limit warming potential. Historical September averages for the city hover near 28–30°C, making the current suppression notable. While forecast uncertainty remains small this close to resolution, an unexpected late-day surge or localized measurement anomaly could theoretically shift the outcome, though such scenarios lack support in current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions