Recent forecast models and observational data from Chinese meteorological services indicate a daily maximum of 27°C in Chengdu on September 9, driven by lingering warm air ahead of an incoming cold front and associated rainfall. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation have limited daytime heating, aligning with the narrow range around this value rather than seasonal September averages near 26–28°C. Trader consensus at 100% on 27°C reflects high confidence in official station readings meeting this exact threshold. Uncertainties remain around precise peak timing or localized variations, but only substantial revisions in post-event verification or unexpected clear-sky development would shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日成都最高溫度?
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$123,550 交易量
$123,550 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$123,550 交易量
$123,550 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecast models and observational data from Chinese meteorological services indicate a daily maximum of 27°C in Chengdu on September 9, driven by lingering warm air ahead of an incoming cold front and associated rainfall. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation have limited daytime heating, aligning with the narrow range around this value rather than seasonal September averages near 26–28°C. Trader consensus at 100% on 27°C reflects high confidence in official station readings meeting this exact threshold. Uncertainties remain around precise peak timing or localized variations, but only substantial revisions in post-event verification or unexpected clear-sky development would shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions