Consistent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate a sharp cooldown in Chengdu on September 10, 2026, with the daily high settling at 23°C following a cold-air outbreak that dropped temperatures more than 10°C from prior levels near 34°C. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly winds, and periods of rain or showers have suppressed daytime warming, aligning closely with observed readings in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius during the afternoon. This positions the 23°C outcome as the clear market consensus. Minor deviations remain possible if rainfall timing or localized clearing allows brief additional warming, though model agreement and ongoing precipitation make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日成都最高溫度?
23°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,457 交易量
$32,457 交易量
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
23°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,457 交易量
$32,457 交易量
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Consistent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate a sharp cooldown in Chengdu on September 10, 2026, with the daily high settling at 23°C following a cold-air outbreak that dropped temperatures more than 10°C from prior levels near 34°C. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly winds, and periods of rain or showers have suppressed daytime warming, aligning closely with observed readings in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius during the afternoon. This positions the 23°C outcome as the clear market consensus. Minor deviations remain possible if rainfall timing or localized clearing allows brief additional warming, though model agreement and ongoing precipitation make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions