Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Manila on September 12, 2026, reflecting consistent model guidance and early observational data showing a daily maximum in that narrow range. September climatology for the region typically features highs near 30°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered afternoon showers, and limited solar heating due to cloud cover from PAGASA and global forecast systems. Recent conditions, including light winds and persistent moisture, have aligned with these baselines without significant deviation. While model consensus supports this outcome, shifts in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 32°C or higher, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月12日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$12,503 交易量
$12,503 交易量
2026-09-12
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$12,503 交易量
$12,503 交易量
2026-09-12
25°C或以下
$317 交易量
否
26°C
$320 交易量
否
27°C
$631 交易量
否
28°C
$434 交易量
否
29°C
$2,102 交易量
否
30°C
$1,896 交易量
否
31°C
$2,653 交易量
是
32°C
$2,588 交易量
否
33°C
$1,411 交易量
否
34°C
$88 交易量
否
35°C或以上
$63 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Manila on September 12, 2026, reflecting consistent model guidance and early observational data showing a daily maximum in that narrow range. September climatology for the region typically features highs near 30°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered afternoon showers, and limited solar heating due to cloud cover from PAGASA and global forecast systems. Recent conditions, including light winds and persistent moisture, have aligned with these baselines without significant deviation. While model consensus supports this outcome, shifts in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 32°C or higher, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$12,503結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Manila on September 12, 2026, reflecting consistent model guidance and early observational data showing a daily maximum in that narrow range. September climatology for the region typically features highs near 30°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered afternoon showers, and limited solar heating due to cloud cover from PAGASA and global forecast systems. Recent conditions, including light winds and persistent moisture, have aligned with these baselines without significant deviation. While model consensus supports this outcome, shifts in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 32°C or higher, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,503結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Manila on September 12, 2026, reflecting consistent model guidance and early observational data showing a daily maximum in that narrow range. September climatology for the region typically features highs near 30°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered afternoon showers, and limited solar heating due to cloud cover from PAGASA and global forecast systems. Recent conditions, including light winds and persistent moisture, have aligned with these baselines without significant deviation. While model consensus supports this outcome, shifts in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 32°C or higher, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions