Recent forecasts from models such as GFS place Helsinki’s maximum temperature near the long-term September 12 average of 16°C, with afternoon readings peaking at 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity. This consensus supports the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, while the 41.5% on 17°C reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and potential localized warming. Stable high pressure and minimal precipitation risk limit upside potential, keeping higher thresholds below 3%. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
17°C 94%
18°C 8%
19°C <1%
10°C或以下 <1%
$18,939 交易量
$18,939 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
94%
18°C
8%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
17°C 94%
18°C 8%
19°C <1%
10°C或以下 <1%
$18,939 交易量
$18,939 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
94%
18°C
8%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models such as GFS place Helsinki’s maximum temperature near the long-term September 12 average of 16°C, with afternoon readings peaking at 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity. This consensus supports the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, while the 41.5% on 17°C reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and potential localized warming. Stable high pressure and minimal precipitation risk limit upside potential, keeping higher thresholds below 3%. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions