Official meteorological forecasts for Munich on September 9, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum of 22°C amid widespread rain and cloud cover, directly supporting the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with climatological norms, where the 1991–2020 average high stands at 20.7°C, while persistent westerly flow and high precipitation probabilities (often exceeding 80%) limit solar heating and convective warming. Numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show strong consensus on these conditions with minimal spread. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from localized clearing, station-specific measurement timing, or late-day model revisions that slightly elevate readings toward 23°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日慕尼黑最高溫度？
9月9日慕尼黑最高溫度？
22°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$161,492 交易量
$161,492 交易量
2026-09-09
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
22°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$161,492 交易量
$161,492 交易量
2026-09-09
17°C或以下
$3,054 交易量
否
18°C
$9,330 交易量
否
19°C
$23,346 交易量
否
20°C
$34,215 交易量
否
21°C
$21,810 交易量
否
22°C
$34,234 交易量
是
23°C
$8,560 交易量
否
24°C
$8,173 交易量
否
25°C
$8,947 交易量
否
26°C
$6,479 交易量
否
27°C或以上
$3,345 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts for Munich on September 9, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum of 22°C amid widespread rain and cloud cover, directly supporting the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with climatological norms, where the 1991–2020 average high stands at 20.7°C, while persistent westerly flow and high precipitation probabilities (often exceeding 80%) limit solar heating and convective warming. Numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show strong consensus on these conditions with minimal spread. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from localized clearing, station-specific measurement timing, or late-day model revisions that slightly elevate readings toward 23°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$161,492結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts for Munich on September 9, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum of 22°C amid widespread rain and cloud cover, directly supporting the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with climatological norms, where the 1991–2020 average high stands at 20.7°C, while persistent westerly flow and high precipitation probabilities (often exceeding 80%) limit solar heating and convective warming. Numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show strong consensus on these conditions with minimal spread. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from localized clearing, station-specific measurement timing, or late-day model revisions that slightly elevate readings toward 23°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$161,492結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological forecasts for Munich on September 9, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum of 22°C amid widespread rain and cloud cover, directly supporting the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with climatological norms, where the 1991–2020 average high stands at 20.7°C, while persistent westerly flow and high precipitation probabilities (often exceeding 80%) limit solar heating and convective warming. Numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show strong consensus on these conditions with minimal spread. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from localized clearing, station-specific measurement timing, or late-day model revisions that slightly elevate readings toward 23°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions