Recent National Weather Service and GFS-based forecasts for Chicago on September 11 indicate mostly sunny skies with a daytime high near 75–82 °F, driven by light southeast winds and modest surface heating under high pressure. Model consensus centers on an afternoon peak in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with climatological norms of about 78 °F for the date and the absence of strong frontal systems or moisture that could alter temperatures. This positions the 80–81 °F bin as the market leader at 63.5 % implied probability, while lower ranges reflect downside risks from any forecast cooling or timing shifts. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日芝加哥的最高溫度？
9月11日芝加哥的最高溫度？
80-81華氏度 61%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 12%
84-85°F 2%
最新
$15,581 交易量
最新
$15,581 交易量
2026-09-11
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
27%
80-81華氏度
61%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或更高
<1%
80-81華氏度 61%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 12%
84-85°F 2%
最新
$15,581 交易量
最新
$15,581 交易量
2026-09-11
華氏71度或以下
$745 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$477 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$333 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$1,452 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$5,870 交易量
27%
80-81華氏度
$2,798 交易量
61%
82-83°F
$1,523 交易量
12%
84-85°F
$887 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$1,025 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$316 交易量
<1%
華氏90度或更高
$156 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS-based forecasts for Chicago on September 11 indicate mostly sunny skies with a daytime high near 75–82 °F, driven by light southeast winds and modest surface heating under high pressure. Model consensus centers on an afternoon peak in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with climatological norms of about 78 °F for the date and the absence of strong frontal systems or moisture that could alter temperatures. This positions the 80–81 °F bin as the market leader at 63.5 % implied probability, while lower ranges reflect downside risks from any forecast cooling or timing shifts. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$15,581結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS-based forecasts for Chicago on September 11 indicate mostly sunny skies with a daytime high near 75–82 °F, driven by light southeast winds and modest surface heating under high pressure. Model consensus centers on an afternoon peak in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with climatological norms of about 78 °F for the date and the absence of strong frontal systems or moisture that could alter temperatures. This positions the 80–81 °F bin as the market leader at 63.5 % implied probability, while lower ranges reflect downside risks from any forecast cooling or timing shifts. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,581結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and GFS-based forecasts for Chicago on September 11 indicate mostly sunny skies with a daytime high near 75–82 °F, driven by light southeast winds and modest surface heating under high pressure. Model consensus centers on an afternoon peak in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with climatological norms of about 78 °F for the date and the absence of strong frontal systems or moisture that could alter temperatures. This positions the 80–81 °F bin as the market leader at 63.5 % implied probability, while lower ranges reflect downside risks from any forecast cooling or timing shifts. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions