Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago stations, including O’Hare, recorded a daily maximum of 76–77°F on September 10, 2026, locking in the market’s near-100% consensus on that bin. Pre-event model guidance and local forecasts had projected highs near 80°F under partly sunny skies with moderating humidity, yet actual afternoon temperatures peaked slightly below those expectations amid persistent cloud cover and lighter winds. This outcome aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 78°F for the date while remaining well below historical extremes. Only an unreported station discrepancy or post-verification adjustment could realistically alter the result, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日芝加哥的最高溫度?
76-77°F 100.0%
華氏69度或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$40,174 交易量
$40,174 交易量
華氏69度或以下
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88°F或以上
否
76-77°F 100.0%
華氏69度或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$40,174 交易量
$40,174 交易量
華氏69度或以下
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88°F或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago stations, including O’Hare, recorded a daily maximum of 76–77°F on September 10, 2026, locking in the market’s near-100% consensus on that bin. Pre-event model guidance and local forecasts had projected highs near 80°F under partly sunny skies with moderating humidity, yet actual afternoon temperatures peaked slightly below those expectations amid persistent cloud cover and lighter winds. This outcome aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 78°F for the date while remaining well below historical extremes. Only an unreported station discrepancy or post-verification adjustment could realistically alter the result, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions