Recent forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high near 21–22°C for Paris on September 10 under stable high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.3°C and supports the market’s strong weighting toward 22°C and 21°C. A modest cooling trend observed over the prior 48 hours, driven by a shift from southwesterly flow, has reinforced trader consensus around these values, while limited model spread and the absence of significant warm-air advection keep probabilities for 23°C or higher subdued. Updated model runs expected in the next 24 hours could refine timing of any afternoon clearing that influences peak readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月10日最高溫度？
巴黎9月10日最高溫度？
22°C 52%
21°C 22%
23°C 11%
20°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
22%
22°C
52%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
1%
22°C 52%
21°C 22%
23°C 11%
20°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
$51 交易量
3%
18°C
$51 交易量
3%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$20 交易量
7%
21°C
$0 交易量
22%
22°C
$117 交易量
52%
23°C
$0 交易量
11%
24°C
$18 交易量
4%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C
$3 交易量
1%
27°C或以上
$25 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high near 21–22°C for Paris on September 10 under stable high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.3°C and supports the market’s strong weighting toward 22°C and 21°C. A modest cooling trend observed over the prior 48 hours, driven by a shift from southwesterly flow, has reinforced trader consensus around these values, while limited model spread and the absence of significant warm-air advection keep probabilities for 23°C or higher subdued. Updated model runs expected in the next 24 hours could refine timing of any afternoon clearing that influences peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$284結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high near 21–22°C for Paris on September 10 under stable high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.3°C and supports the market’s strong weighting toward 22°C and 21°C. A modest cooling trend observed over the prior 48 hours, driven by a shift from southwesterly flow, has reinforced trader consensus around these values, while limited model spread and the absence of significant warm-air advection keep probabilities for 23°C or higher subdued. Updated model runs expected in the next 24 hours could refine timing of any afternoon clearing that influences peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$284結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high near 21–22°C for Paris on September 10 under stable high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.3°C and supports the market’s strong weighting toward 22°C and 21°C. A modest cooling trend observed over the prior 48 hours, driven by a shift from southwesterly flow, has reinforced trader consensus around these values, while limited model spread and the absence of significant warm-air advection keep probabilities for 23°C or higher subdued. Updated model runs expected in the next 24 hours could refine timing of any afternoon clearing that influences peak readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions