Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum in Wuhan on September 11 stems from official forecasts and real-time observations showing clear skies, light easterly winds, and peak afternoon temperatures reaching that threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs, project a high of 28–29°C with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, aligning with historical September baselines where daytime warming peaks before seasonal cooling. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified data from monitoring agencies rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized measurement variance at the reference station or unforecasted cloud build-up suppressing insolation, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日武漢氣溫最高？
9月11日武漢氣溫最高？
28°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$26,980 交易量
$26,980 交易量
2026-09-11
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
28°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$26,980 交易量
$26,980 交易量
2026-09-11
24°C或以下
$813 交易量
否
25°C
$1,214 交易量
否
26°C
$1,260 交易量
否
27°C
$3,361 交易量
否
28°C
$6,420 交易量
是
29°C
$5,429 交易量
否
30°C
$4,314 交易量
否
31°C
$3,127 交易量
否
32°C
$681 交易量
否
33°C
$286 交易量
否
34°C或更高
$74 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum in Wuhan on September 11 stems from official forecasts and real-time observations showing clear skies, light easterly winds, and peak afternoon temperatures reaching that threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs, project a high of 28–29°C with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, aligning with historical September baselines where daytime warming peaks before seasonal cooling. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified data from monitoring agencies rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized measurement variance at the reference station or unforecasted cloud build-up suppressing insolation, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$26,980結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum in Wuhan on September 11 stems from official forecasts and real-time observations showing clear skies, light easterly winds, and peak afternoon temperatures reaching that threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs, project a high of 28–29°C with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, aligning with historical September baselines where daytime warming peaks before seasonal cooling. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified data from monitoring agencies rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized measurement variance at the reference station or unforecasted cloud build-up suppressing insolation, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,980結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum in Wuhan on September 11 stems from official forecasts and real-time observations showing clear skies, light easterly winds, and peak afternoon temperatures reaching that threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs, project a high of 28–29°C with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, aligning with historical September baselines where daytime warming peaks before seasonal cooling. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified data from monitoring agencies rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized measurement variance at the reference station or unforecasted cloud build-up suppressing insolation, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions