**Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam today (September 9, 2026), aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44.5% for 18°C and 34.5% for 19°C.** Active showers and thunderstorms, driven by a northwest flow from an Atlantic low-pressure system, are suppressing daytime heating, with rain chances exceeding 90% during peak afternoon hours. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office (19°C), Météo forecasts (18°C max), and GFS-based models (peaking near 18°C around 15:00–18:00 local time) shows limited spread, consistent with historical September variability but cooler than the ~19.9°C seasonal average high due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Winds of 15–25 mph from the northwest further limit warming. Resolution hinges on the official station reading (typically Schiphol), where afternoon observations will determine whether the high settles at 18°C or edges to 19°C. Later model updates or slight steering changes could shift probabilities modestly toward 17°C or 20°C, though current data keep those at lower implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月9日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
18°C 45%
19°C 37%
20°C 8%
17°C 8%
$26,444 交易量
$26,444 交易量
2026-09-09
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
45%
19°C
37%
20°C
8%
21°C
<1%
22°C或以上
<1%
18°C 45%
19°C 37%
20°C 8%
17°C 8%
$26,444 交易量
$26,444 交易量
2026-09-09
12°C或以下
$520 交易量
<1%
13°C
$171 交易量
<1%
14°C
$3,454 交易量
<1%
15°C
$5,340 交易量
<1%
16°C
$2,452 交易量
3%
17°C
$3,313 交易量
8%
18°C
$4,311 交易量
45%
19°C
$3,951 交易量
37%
20°C
$1,636 交易量
8%
21°C
$887 交易量
<1%
22°C或以上
$410 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam today (September 9, 2026), aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44.5% for 18°C and 34.5% for 19°C.**
Active showers and thunderstorms, driven by a northwest flow from an Atlantic low-pressure system, are suppressing daytime heating, with rain chances exceeding 90% during peak afternoon hours. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office (19°C), Météo forecasts (18°C max), and GFS-based models (peaking near 18°C around 15:00–18:00 local time) shows limited spread, consistent with historical September variability but cooler than the ~19.9°C seasonal average high due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation.
Winds of 15–25 mph from the northwest further limit warming. Resolution hinges on the official station reading (typically Schiphol), where afternoon observations will determine whether the high settles at 18°C or edges to 19°C. Later model updates or slight steering changes could shift probabilities modestly toward 17°C or 20°C, though current data keep those at lower implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$26,444結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam today (September 9, 2026), aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44.5% for 18°C and 34.5% for 19°C.**
Active showers and thunderstorms, driven by a northwest flow from an Atlantic low-pressure system, are suppressing daytime heating, with rain chances exceeding 90% during peak afternoon hours. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office (19°C), Météo forecasts (18°C max), and GFS-based models (peaking near 18°C around 15:00–18:00 local time) shows limited spread, consistent with historical September variability but cooler than the ~19.9°C seasonal average high due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation.
Winds of 15–25 mph from the northwest further limit warming. Resolution hinges on the official station reading (typically Schiphol), where afternoon observations will determine whether the high settles at 18°C or edges to 19°C. Later model updates or slight steering changes could shift probabilities modestly toward 17°C or 20°C, though current data keep those at lower implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,444結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam today (September 9, 2026), aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44.5% for 18°C and 34.5% for 19°C.** Active showers and thunderstorms, driven by a northwest flow from an Atlantic low-pressure system, are suppressing daytime heating, with rain chances exceeding 90% during peak afternoon hours. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office (19°C), Météo forecasts (18°C max), and GFS-based models (peaking near 18°C around 15:00–18:00 local time) shows limited spread, consistent with historical September variability but cooler than the ~19.9°C seasonal average high due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Winds of 15–25 mph from the northwest further limit warming. Resolution hinges on the official station reading (typically Schiphol), where afternoon observations will determine whether the high settles at 18°C or edges to 19°C. Later model updates or slight steering changes could shift probabilities modestly toward 17°C or 20°C, though current data keep those at lower implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions