Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF confirm a daily maximum of 24°C in Milan on September 9, 2026, with afternoon readings aligning precisely to this threshold under stable high-pressure conditions. This consensus, backed by real-time surface data and minimal model spread, underpins the market's near-certain positioning at 24°C. Historical September averages around 24–26°C provide context, yet today's specific synoptic pattern—light winds and clear skies—eliminates upside or downside deviations. Only an unforecast localized heat spike or instrumentation revision could alter the outcome before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日米蘭的最高溫度?
24°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$87,761 交易量
$87,761 交易量
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
24°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$87,761 交易量
$87,761 交易量
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF confirm a daily maximum of 24°C in Milan on September 9, 2026, with afternoon readings aligning precisely to this threshold under stable high-pressure conditions. This consensus, backed by real-time surface data and minimal model spread, underpins the market's near-certain positioning at 24°C. Historical September averages around 24–26°C provide context, yet today's specific synoptic pattern—light winds and clear skies—eliminates upside or downside deviations. Only an unforecast localized heat spike or instrumentation revision could alter the outcome before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions