Traders assign near-certainty to a 28°C daily maximum in Qingdao on September 11, 2026, based on consistent forecasts from regional meteorological models showing a high near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Current observations and ensemble runs indicate afternoon temperatures stabilizing around 25–28°C, with dew points and humidity levels limiting further warming while preventing significant cooling. Historical September averages for the coastal station hover near 26°C, providing context for the modest anomaly. A realistic shift could occur if unexpected clearing increases insolation or if steering patterns advect warmer air masses, though model consensus and short time remaining until daily close make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日青島氣溫最高？
9月11日青島氣溫最高？
28°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$34,460 交易量
$34,460 交易量
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$34,460 交易量
$34,460 交易量
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
$918 交易量
否
22°C
$473 交易量
否
23°C
$407 交易量
否
24°C
$2,313 交易量
否
25°C
$1,855 交易量
否
26°C
$3,477 交易量
否
27°C
$9,422 交易量
否
28°C
$7,862 交易量
是
29°C
$4,988 交易量
否
30°C
$2,617 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$128 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 28°C daily maximum in Qingdao on September 11, 2026, based on consistent forecasts from regional meteorological models showing a high near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Current observations and ensemble runs indicate afternoon temperatures stabilizing around 25–28°C, with dew points and humidity levels limiting further warming while preventing significant cooling. Historical September averages for the coastal station hover near 26°C, providing context for the modest anomaly. A realistic shift could occur if unexpected clearing increases insolation or if steering patterns advect warmer air masses, though model consensus and short time remaining until daily close make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$34,460結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 28°C daily maximum in Qingdao on September 11, 2026, based on consistent forecasts from regional meteorological models showing a high near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Current observations and ensemble runs indicate afternoon temperatures stabilizing around 25–28°C, with dew points and humidity levels limiting further warming while preventing significant cooling. Historical September averages for the coastal station hover near 26°C, providing context for the modest anomaly. A realistic shift could occur if unexpected clearing increases insolation or if steering patterns advect warmer air masses, though model consensus and short time remaining until daily close make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,460結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders assign near-certainty to a 28°C daily maximum in Qingdao on September 11, 2026, based on consistent forecasts from regional meteorological models showing a high near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Current observations and ensemble runs indicate afternoon temperatures stabilizing around 25–28°C, with dew points and humidity levels limiting further warming while preventing significant cooling. Historical September averages for the coastal station hover near 26°C, providing context for the modest anomaly. A realistic shift could occur if unexpected clearing increases insolation or if steering patterns advect warmer air masses, though model consensus and short time remaining until daily close make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions