Traders assign a near-certain 99.7% implied probability to 36°C as Chongqing’s daily maximum today because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance converge on that exact peak under stable high-pressure conditions. Current observations show surface temperatures climbing toward this threshold amid typical early-September humidity and light winds, matching long-term climatological baselines for the Sichuan Basin. Minor variations in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects remain possible but are not expected to push readings outside the 36°C bin before resolution. Updated station data later today would be the primary trigger for any reassessment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日重慶氣溫最高？
9月9日重慶氣溫最高？
36°C 99.6%
37°C <1%
31°C或以下 <1%
32°C <1%
$45,648 交易量
$45,648 交易量
2026-09-09
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C或以上
<1%
36°C 99.6%
37°C <1%
31°C或以下 <1%
32°C <1%
$45,648 交易量
$45,648 交易量
2026-09-09
31°C或以下
$3,343 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,521 交易量
<1%
33°C
$2,195 交易量
<1%
34°C
$2,861 交易量
<1%
35°C
$7,779 交易量
<1%
36°C
$10,493 交易量
100%
37°C
$8,527 交易量
<1%
38°C
$6,746 交易量
<1%
39°C
$1,441 交易量
<1%
40°C
$483 交易量
<1%
41°C或以上
$261 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a near-certain 99.7% implied probability to 36°C as Chongqing’s daily maximum today because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance converge on that exact peak under stable high-pressure conditions. Current observations show surface temperatures climbing toward this threshold amid typical early-September humidity and light winds, matching long-term climatological baselines for the Sichuan Basin. Minor variations in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects remain possible but are not expected to push readings outside the 36°C bin before resolution. Updated station data later today would be the primary trigger for any reassessment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$45,648結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a near-certain 99.7% implied probability to 36°C as Chongqing’s daily maximum today because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance converge on that exact peak under stable high-pressure conditions. Current observations show surface temperatures climbing toward this threshold amid typical early-September humidity and light winds, matching long-term climatological baselines for the Sichuan Basin. Minor variations in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects remain possible but are not expected to push readings outside the 36°C bin before resolution. Updated station data later today would be the primary trigger for any reassessment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45,648結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTraders assign a near-certain 99.7% implied probability to 36°C as Chongqing’s daily maximum today because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance converge on that exact peak under stable high-pressure conditions. Current observations show surface temperatures climbing toward this threshold amid typical early-September humidity and light winds, matching long-term climatological baselines for the Sichuan Basin. Minor variations in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects remain possible but are not expected to push readings outside the 36°C bin before resolution. Updated station data later today would be the primary trigger for any reassessment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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