Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, aligns with official forecast guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. Multiple meteorological sources, including local monitoring data, project a peak around 25–26°C (roughly 77–79°F), consistent with typical early-September conditions in the region where daytime highs often stabilize near seasonal averages without strong frontal systems or marine influence altering the outcome. Current observations through afternoon confirm temperatures climbing into the mid-20s Celsius without exceeding model consensus. A realistic challenge would require verified station readings deviating due to localized wind shifts, timing of peak insolation, or post-event data revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日青島氣溫最高？
9月9日青島氣溫最高？
26°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$29,393 交易量
$29,393 交易量
2026-09-09
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$29,393 交易量
$29,393 交易量
2026-09-09
19°C或以下
$349 交易量
否
20°C
$911 交易量
否
21°C
$3,357 交易量
否
22°C
$1,544 交易量
否
23°C
$2,091 交易量
否
24°C
$4,132 交易量
否
25°C
$4,488 交易量
否
26°C
$5,666 交易量
是
27°C
$2,816 交易量
否
28°C
$2,669 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$1,370 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, aligns with official forecast guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. Multiple meteorological sources, including local monitoring data, project a peak around 25–26°C (roughly 77–79°F), consistent with typical early-September conditions in the region where daytime highs often stabilize near seasonal averages without strong frontal systems or marine influence altering the outcome. Current observations through afternoon confirm temperatures climbing into the mid-20s Celsius without exceeding model consensus. A realistic challenge would require verified station readings deviating due to localized wind shifts, timing of peak insolation, or post-event data revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$29,393結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, aligns with official forecast guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. Multiple meteorological sources, including local monitoring data, project a peak around 25–26°C (roughly 77–79°F), consistent with typical early-September conditions in the region where daytime highs often stabilize near seasonal averages without strong frontal systems or marine influence altering the outcome. Current observations through afternoon confirm temperatures climbing into the mid-20s Celsius without exceeding model consensus. A realistic challenge would require verified station readings deviating due to localized wind shifts, timing of peak insolation, or post-event data revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,393結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, aligns with official forecast guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. Multiple meteorological sources, including local monitoring data, project a peak around 25–26°C (roughly 77–79°F), consistent with typical early-September conditions in the region where daytime highs often stabilize near seasonal averages without strong frontal systems or marine influence altering the outcome. Current observations through afternoon confirm temperatures climbing into the mid-20s Celsius without exceeding model consensus. A realistic challenge would require verified station readings deviating due to localized wind shifts, timing of peak insolation, or post-event data revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions