Official PAGASA forecasts for August 13 point to a 26–32°C range in Manila under active Southwest Monsoon flow, with 60–100% rain chances moderating peak heating through persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, as monsoon-driven moisture and reduced solar insolation typically cap highs near the 31°C August climatological average. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks reinforce suppressed temperature extremes, while minor model spread in steering patterns and convective timing accounts for the close probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these moisture and insolation variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
30°C 33%
31°C 28%
29°C 26%
32°C 12%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
26%
30°C
33%
31°C
28%
32°C
12%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 28%
29°C 26%
32°C 12%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
26%
30°C
33%
31°C
28%
32°C
12%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official PAGASA forecasts for August 13 point to a 26–32°C range in Manila under active Southwest Monsoon flow, with 60–100% rain chances moderating peak heating through persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, as monsoon-driven moisture and reduced solar insolation typically cap highs near the 31°C August climatological average. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks reinforce suppressed temperature extremes, while minor model spread in steering patterns and convective timing accounts for the close probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these moisture and insolation variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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